Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 10.698922 12.344526 14.105084 16.122687 18.364656 20.773246 23.550105
2025-05-25 8.462428 10.581697 12.990734 15.911307 19.334604 23.198115 27.865166
2025-06-01 6.969959 9.340689 12.177779 15.780963 20.189941 25.362696 31.840150
2025-06-08 5.756446 8.224490 11.319738 15.416969 20.622037 26.934825 35.082658
2025-06-15 5.009232 7.576653 10.931897 15.534514 21.569961 29.094697 39.050737
2025-06-22 4.331824 6.922463 10.443613 15.437775 22.180695 30.800825 42.462835
2025-06-29 3.864752 6.495333 10.200262 15.613735 23.112582 32.909632 46.419234
2025-07-06 3.474431 6.127400 9.991636 15.796376 24.028768 34.998455 50.386937
2025-07-13 3.216457 5.925677 9.992804 16.253924 25.318335 37.604797 55.096407
2025-07-20 2.951834 5.680183 9.899972 16.553155 26.378272 39.914893 59.457401
2025-07-27 2.647762 5.333484 9.618149 16.541297 26.973189 41.583624 62.972680
2025-08-03 2.249632 4.778446 8.958900 15.903635 26.606455 41.871222 64.563326
2025-08-10 1.976784 4.413045 8.575511 15.667776 26.822466 42.992264 67.358803
2025-08-17 1.717855 4.039365 8.143034 15.317663 26.835034 43.803099 69.718891
2025-08-24 1.517571 3.750799 7.827964 15.130319 27.076774 44.940484 72.560849
2025-08-31 1.313561 3.426197 7.418482 14.752790 26.990484 45.572700 74.667731
2025-09-07 1.198805 3.270778 7.299337 14.855217 27.664954 47.356399 78.498593
2025-09-14 1.070958 3.069043 7.075255 14.757155 28.001553 48.625563 81.585394
2025-09-21 0.987250 2.954473 7.006145 14.924845 28.775477 50.581256 85.739012
2025-09-28 0.912069 2.849169 6.945208 15.100136 29.562908 52.572395 89.984274
2025-10-05 0.869978 2.817923 7.028566 15.541146 30.811166 55.314158 95.428267
2025-10-12 0.816237 2.750273 7.031419 15.829688 31.804463 57.671899 100.326568
2025-10-19 0.740463 2.614709 6.881122 15.818174 32.273579 59.198438 103.965031